As December begins, it’s the final stretch of the fantasy football season, with most leagues wrapping up their regular seasons and preparing for playoffs. A critical consideration for fantasy managers is analyzing the Rushing Strength of Schedule (SoS) for playoff weeks, specifically Weeks 15-17. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis.
Methodology
The rankings reflect team performances against run defenses for Weeks 15-17. The analysis incorporates recent trends, observational insights, and statistical adjustments while excluding factors like home/away splits or weather conditions. Importantly, the quality of a team’s running game is not weighed—this is purely a defensive matchup perspective.
Top Performers
- Raiders: They face favorable matchups (Falcons, Jaguars, Saints), though their low run-play percentage tempers expectations. Keep an eye on Sincere McCormick as a potential option.
- Titans: Despite Tony Pollard’s lingering injuries, Tennessee benefits from games against teams like the Bengals and Jaguars. Success depends on competitive game scripts.
- Cardinals: Aging James Conner may need relief from Trey Benson, a valuable stash against manageable opponents like the Patriots and Panthers.
- Lions: Their offensive line excels, and their schedule (Bills, Bears, 49ers) offers opportunities for big plays despite Thanksgiving setbacks.
- Eagles: With a league-leading run rate, they are poised for success. Saquon Barkley, thriving with explosive long runs, is a standout.
Mid-Tier Options
6-10: Teams like the Jets, Colts, and Buccaneers feature intriguing depth plays, including Braelon Allen and Bucky Irving, who could capitalize on advantageous situations. 11-15: Squads like the Ravens and Packers bring consistency, with players such as Derrick Henry and Josh Jacobs benefiting from solid offensive setups.
Challenging Matchups
16-23: Teams like the Dolphins, Bengals, and Giants offer mixed prospects. While key players like De’Von Achane and Chase Brown have value, inconsistent offensive support limits upside.
Toughest Outlooks
24-32: The Steelers, Browns, and Texans face the steepest challenges. Poor offensive line performance and difficult schedules make their running backs risky plays.
Key Takeaways
Success hinges on pairing talent with opportunity. Consider matchups carefully and evaluate potential waiver pickups like Zach Charbonnet or Isaac Guerendo. Managing risks and leveraging favorable schedules can make all the difference in securing a championship.
